first_imgYork 1.50 Chapelli 2.20 Mafaaheem 2.55 Mr Buttons 3.30 Imperial State 4.05 Arod 4.40 Gorgeous Noora 5.15 Zeelander  Sandown Park 2.00 Oberyn Martell 2.35 Julius Limbani 3.10 Warsaan 3.45 Aclimatise (nap) 4.20 Daybreak (nb) 4.50 Beringer 5.25 Dagueneau Newton Abbot 2.10 Settie Hill 2.45 Viconte Du Noyer 3.20 Amour D’Or 3.55 Diakali 4.30 Passing Call 5.00 No No Cardinal 5.30 Rose Crown Aintree 5.45 Astaroland 6.15 Weinberg 6.50 Ballyboker Breeze 7.20 Cause Toujours 7.55 Indian Temple 8.25 Final Reminder 8.55 Vivant Chepstow 5.55 Sfumato 6.25 Steeve 7.00 Dashing Poet 7.30 Nutini 8.05 Quantum Dot 8.35 Queen Of Connaught 9.05 Bid Adieu  Goodwood 6.05 Poet’s Society 6.35 Nayslayer 7.10 Ship Of The Fen 7.40 Sassie 8.15 Sing Out Loud 8.45 Surya  Share on Facebook Was this helpful? Thank you for your feedback. Cracksman shortened with several bookmakers on Thursday for the Prince of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot next week, and John Gosden’s colt now seems likely to be the first odds-on shot of the meeting when he lines up for the feature event on Wednesday, and the only odds-on favourite all week in a Group One event. Before anyone gets too heavily involved, however, a few of the lessons of history when it comes to odds-on chances at the Royal meeting are worth bearing in mind. Across the week as a whole, a total of 36 horses have set off shorter than evens since 2003. Of those, 20 have returned to the winner’s enclosure, a strike-rate of 55.6%, and a level stake on all 36 would have shown a small loss of 3%. Horse racing Topics … we have a small favour to ask. More people, like you, are reading and supporting the Guardian’s independent, investigative journalism than ever before. 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Every reader contribution, however big or small, is so valuable. Support The Guardian from as little as $1 – and it only takes a minute. Thank you. Sign up to The Recap, our weekly email of editors’ picks. It pretty much goes without saying that all were ridden by top-class, experienced jockeys, though it is striking that Ryan Moore has ridden the last seven odds-on shots at Royal Ascot and 10 of the last 11, a run that stretches back to his win on Gleneagles in the St James’s Palace Stakes in 2015. The only other jockey to ride an odds-on chance since then was Yutake Take, who finished last of six on A Shin Hikari when he set off at 8-13 for the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes in 2016.Frankie Dettori, meanwhile, has ridden only two odds-on favourites since 2003 – and both were beaten. Treve, 8-13 for the Prince of Wales’s Stakes in 2014, was only third behind The Fugue, while Kheleyf, who was the same price to win the Norfolk Stakes for David Loder back in 2003, finished second to Russian Valour. In addition to Treve and A Shin Hikari, Aidan O’Brien’s So You Think also set off at odds-on in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes in the last 15 years, and the fact that he managed to win at 4-5 in 2012 does not entirely make up for his defeat at 4-11 the previous year. features Talking Horses Since you’re here… Share on LinkedIn On the other hand, odds-on favourites in Royal Ascot’s Group One events show a slightly better rate of return. Of the 36 odds-on chances since 2003, 24 were in Group Ones and 15 were winners, returning a profit on stakes at starting price of 0.1% (which is effectively Frankel’s win at 1-10 in the Queen Anne in 2012 tipping the balance). Tread with caution, in other words, and the same advice applies to a bumper offering of six cards on Friday which could easily overwhelm the unwary punter. Daybreak (4.20) is one runner that might offer some value at around 11-2 for the fillies’ handicap at Sandown Park. Hughie Morrison’s three-year-old had to switch to find running room at Goodwood last time out and then finished strongly to get within a neck of the winner. Aclimatise (3.45) is a worthy favourite on the same card, while Mr Buttons (2.55), in the Rous Selling Stakes at York, and Imperial State (3.30) are two more to consider on the afternoon cards. Sassie (7.40) also has a squeak at around 8-1 on the evening card at Goodwood. center_img Read more Share on WhatsApp Hide Share via Email Share on Messenger Support The Guardian Share on Twitter Share on Pinterest Quick guide Friday tips Frankie Dettori issues glowing report on Cracksman for Royal Ascot Show Horse racing tips Reuse this contentlast_img

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